Everything to play for in Zagreb on Wednesday in the Europa League and it promises to be a cagey affair.
It’s winner takes all, group leaders Villarreal have already qualified, but the visitors hold the advantage, knowing that a draw would be enough to advance, and I can’t imagine Pavlos Dermitzakis’s side being too adventurous.
PAOK, currently sitting third in the Greek Super League, eight points and upwards adrift of runaway leaders Panathinaikos and Olympiakos, like to keep things tight and in European competition, in particular, often get as many men as possible behind the ball. >
Wednesday’s away side have now been involved in ten consecutive Europa League matches, stretching back to the preliminary stage last season, where two goals or less have been scored and, with limited attacking prowess, I expect more of the same.
No PAOK striker has bagged in excess of two league goals this season to date, Portuguese midfielder Vieirinha leads the way with a paltry three, and Europa League Group D has produced just 17 in ten matches with one round of fixtures remaining.
PAOK edged an uneventful clash 1-0 when the two teams met back on Matchday 1, Ivic Vladmir, the Serb, proving the match-winner, and it must be noted that Dinamo are far from free-scoring at the Stadion Maksimir.
Eight of Dinamo’s last nine matches in front of their own fans have featured less than three goals and Sky Bet’s decision to go 1.80 about that run continuing is surprising.
Sky Bet are a standout price, it is shorter on Betfair, and I’ll also be having a small wager on it ending goalless. That’s a 10.0 chance in a couple of places and is well worth a an investment given the away team’s likely approach tot he fixture.
*6pts Back Under 2.50 Goals (Dinamo Zagreb vs. PAOK) @ 1.80 (Sky Bet)’*0.5pts Back No Goal Scorer ((Dinamo Zagreb vs. PAOK) @ 10.0 (various)’