EPL Fantasy Preview: Salah Injury, Gameweek 38 Goals

EPL Fantasy Preview: Salah Injury, Gameweek 38 Goals Photo: TT
Mohamed Salah - Photo 184232340 © Cosmin Iftode | Dreamstime.com

It’s the final gameweek of the Fantasy Premier League, but it’s definitely an opportunity to surge up the rankings or up your league leaderboard.

Key lessons

The big lesson from previous years is that gameweek 38 is often one full of goals. Looking back across the past five seasons, there’s always been more goals in gameweek 38 than on average across the season. In 2020-21 there were 3.1 goals per game in gameweek, compared to the season average of 2.69.

The table below displays this point, with the key lesson being that more goals means more point scoring. Perhaps that comes into your thinking with your formation too.

Premier League goals per game by season

SeasonSeason avgGmwk 38 avg
2020-212.693.1
2019-202.723.3
2018-192.823.6
2017-182.683.1
2016-172.803.7

New Options

As we’ve said lately, new options don’t really pop up at this time of the season, but there’s a few key players to consider, led by off last gameweek’s top scorer James Maddison, whose Leicester City host Southampton fresh from his individual scores of 10 and 15 last weekend. He’s scored three goals and provided two assists in the Foxes’ past three league games.

Mohamed Salah is in doubt for this gameweek so coaches may have cash for transfers and Son Heung-Min will be strongly desired this gameweek with Tottenham’s important home clash with bottom club Norwich City looming as a prime time for big points. The Korean has the second most FPL points this season, including 42 across the past three gameweeks.

For similar reasons, Harry Kane may be worth chasing against the Canaries having netted four goals in their past four games, while he has brought in six double-figure scores since gameweek 26.

Jarrod Bowen looms as a great pick-up at 6.9m for someone who’s scored the fourth most points in FPL this season. Bowen has 27 points in the past two gameweeks, wit the Hammers taking on Brighton away.

Who to captain?

For the aforementioned reasons, Son and Kane are good picks against relegated Norwich City, with both having high ceiling. Son’s top score this season was 21 in gameweek 32, while Kane’s was 13 which he’s hit three times.

Salah cannot be discredited if available, especially given what’s at stake for Liverpool against Wolverhampton but there’s similar reasons to back in Kevin De Bruyne, who has no injury concerns.

De Bruyne’s Manchester City will be crowned champions if they beat Aston Villa on Sunday, so they’ll be going full throttle. The Belgian scored 24 points in one game in gameweek 36, totalling 30 for the gameweek, which will be fresh in many coaches’ minds.

Injuries

Salah’s status will be key for coaches having limped out of last weekend’s FA Cup final before missing Liverpool’s midweek trip to Southampton. Reds boss Jurgen Klopp said on Friday that he “looks all good” but he also hinted he may not start. The German can be tough to read.

Watford’s Emmanuel Dennis has been a popular pick all season but he’s got a season-ending knee injury and will not play this weekend.

Man City aren’t expect to welcome back John Stones or Kyle Walker, which offers certainty about their backline, while Virgil van Dijk (knee) is in a similar boat to Salah.

Ben somerford
Sports Pundit staff writer @bensomerford
Australian journalist who specialises on all sports, focusing on football, tennis, basketball and racing, having written for global publications including FourFourTwo, AAP, Inside Futbol and many more....

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