I am not sure Arsenal are entirely comfortable at Wembley, despite the fact they are the current FA Cup holders, and they might just come unstuck this time in the 2015 Final.
This will be the Gunners’ fourth match on the hallow turf inside 12 months, all in this competition now that the semi-finals are also held at the famous stadium, but the London club haven’t impressed and are looking for a first win inside 90 minutes in that period.
Wigan, Hull and Reading all eventually succumbed to Arsene Wenger’s side but Arsenal required 120 minutes twice and success via a penalty shootout to see-off that trio and Aston Villa should prove tougher opponents in the latest showpiece.
Despite the fact they finished the season with a flourish at home to West Brom, Theo Walcott on target three times in a 4-1 win, if Arsenal have a weakness it is finding a breakthrough when frustrated and Villa, often more effective away from home, are well equipped to hurt them on the counter-attack.
Since Tim Sherwood took over in February the Villains have found their stride and they possess a threat going forward once again, so sorely lacking prior to the Englishman’s arrival.
In Christian Benteke, Sherwood has one of the Premier League’s most in-form strikers to lead the line and the Belgian was the hero in the memorable last four defeat of Liverpool.
Villa were underdogs that day and while they will be once more on Saturday, the odds seem to underestimated their chance. That is despite ending the campaign with a whimper, having secured their top flight status, and all eyes have surely been on this prize for some time now.
At 5/1 in the match odds market and 5/2 to lift the trophy, a punt is taken on Villa to cause a shock but the worry is the hidings they suffered at the hands of their upcoming opponents in two Premier League fixtures this term. Five-nil and three-nil reversals doesn’t bode well but Arsenal have been long odds on failures here in the recent past and might just be so again.
2pts Lay Arsenal (vs. Aston Villa) @ 1.60 (Betfair)